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Prediction Markets

Bet RAI Points on the future of AI. Build your accuracy score and climb the analyst leaderboard.

companies

Will Midjourney's valuation exceed $10B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if Midjourney's reported valuation is at or above $10 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will DeepSeek's valuation exceed $10B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if DeepSeek's reported valuation is at or above $10 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will ElevenLabs' valuation exceed $5B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if ElevenLabs' post-money valuation is at or above $5 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will OpenAI's valuation exceed $500B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if OpenAI's post-money valuation (most recent funding round or tender offer) is at or above $500 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will Anthropic's valuation exceed $200B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if Anthropic's post-money valuation is at or above $200 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will xAI's valuation exceed $200B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if xAI's post-money valuation is at or above $200 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will Mistral AI's valuation exceed $15B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if Mistral AI's post-money valuation is at or above $15 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will Perplexity's valuation exceed $20B by Jan 1, 2026?

Resolves YES if Perplexity's post-money valuation is at or above $20 billion on January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD
SourcePitchBook / TechCrunch / Reuters (last reported funding round)

Valuation is determined by the most recent confirmed funding round or credible secondary-market report as of Jan 1, 2026. Unconfirmed rumors or speculative media estimates do not count.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 0 RAI

companies

Will Uncensored AI's valuation exceed $100M by Jan 1, 2026?

Over/Under $100M valuation for Uncensored AI as of January 1, 2026.

UnitUSD valuation
SourcePublic funding announcements

Resolves YES if valuation is over $100M, NO if under.

YES 50%NO 50%

Closed · Pool 200 RAI

infrastructure

Will a top-5 inference provider have a 1h+ outage this month?

Status-page surveillance market.

YES 77%NO 23%

Closed · Pool 5300 RAI

models

Will Claude be #1 on the RAI leaderboard by July 2026?

Anthropic vs OpenAI: who holds the crown at midyear?

YES 64%NO 36%

Closed · Pool 5000 RAI

models

Will an open-source model overtake GPT-5 on coding RAI this quarter?

DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen , pick your fighter.

YES 33%NO 67%

Closes 8/1/2026 · Pool 4350 RAI

models

Will Grok drop out of the top 10 by Q3?

After the recent uncensored update controversy.

YES 27%NO 73%

Closes 9/30/2026 · Pool 3000 RAI